Exploring constituency-level estimates for the 2017 British general election

Ron Johnston, David Rossiter, Todd Hartman, Charles Pattie, David Manley and Kelvyn Jones

Most opinion polls conducted during British general election campaigns report on each party's estimated national vote share.

Table I. Vote share and seats won at the 2017 and 2015 UK General Elections in Great Britain.

Results from the constituency contested by the Speaker of the House have been excluded. Data from the British Election Study Constituency Results file vl .0.

Opinion polling is a major feature of British parliamentary election campaigns. Despite some clear failures—to identify the winning party correctly let alone each party's percentage of the votes (see Sturgis et al, 2016, 2017)—it is widely used by the print and broadcast media, often as their main stories, to chart a campaign's progress as well as...

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